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March Madness Math: Are the “Dreaded Middle Seeds” So Bad? | Roots of Unity, Scientific American Blog Network

Stashed in: Math!, So you're saying there's a chance....

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Their analysis found no significant difference between the number of wins achieved by the 8 and 9 seeds versus the 10, 11, and 12 seeds, but then they narrowed their focus to teams that won at least one game. If a team can make it out of the first round, is a 10, 11, or 12 seeds better than an 8 or 9 seed? For this question, they found that the answer was yes, at least in the men’s tournament. In this case, 10 seeds have more wins, and more 10, 11, and 12 seeds make it to the Sweet Sixteen than 8 and 9 seeds. In the women’s tournament, Morris and Bokhari found that an 11-seed that made it out of the first round had an advantage over an 8 or 9 seed that made it out of the first round, but that was the only statistically significant result they found.

That's a whole lot of work for "with 99.9% certainty won't make the Final Four" ...

Math for math's sake.  "There are no prizes for winning, but it should be fun."

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