The Presidentsâ€™ Trophy Curse does not exist.
Adam Rifkin stashed this in Hockey
Stashed in: Sharks!
Jonathan Willis points out:
The Presidentsâ€™ Trophy winner is obviously the most successful team, being:
- eliminated in the first round the fewest number of times
- eliminated in the second round the fewest number of times
- the Stanley Cup champion more frequently than any other seed
- in the Finals three times as often as the second seed
In fact, looking at the data, if we were to concoct a curse the one we ought to look at is the Regular Season Runner-Up Curse â€“ the second seed has been eliminated in the first round six times, more than any of the other top-five slots, and has only played in the Stanley Cup Finals twice in the last 16 seasons.
Given that the Presidentsâ€™ Trophy slot is obviously the most favourable position, why do we create factually vacuous phantoms like the â€˜Presidentsâ€™ Trophy Curse?â€™Â Mostly, itâ€™s because of the way memory works: we expect the best regular season team to advance, and when they fall in the first or second round we remember it as a major upset in a way that donâ€™t when it was the second or third seed â€“ because after all, they werenâ€™t the best team during the season.Â Then, when we look back at Presidentsâ€™ Trophy winners, we focus in on the losses â€“ because winning is expected, only the losses stand out.
Good thing for the Chicago Blackhawks, who just won the 2013 Presidents Trophy: