This Test Predicts Your Risk of Dying in the Next Five Years
Halibutboy Flatface stashed this in Science
The tool aggregates risk factors for people between ages 40 - 70, and just looks at the UK population.
Strongest indicators: self-reported health, walking pace, and smoking.
Asking people to rate their overall health (self-reported health) and to describe their usual walking pace were two of the strongest predictors in both men and women for different causes of death. It turns out that walking pace is more predictive of five-year mortality (a C-index of 72%) than body mass index (C-index of 68%).
We also found that among individuals who did not have any known major disease, measurements of smoking habits were the strongest predictors of mortality within five years.