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Rove: Can We Believe the Presidential Polls? - WSJ.com


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Interesting analysis, Mr. Rove. Thoughts?

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"Both candidates have advantages as the race enters its final month. Mr. Obama is slightly ahead (but short of 50%). Late-deciding independents will probably break more for Mr. Romney. Clear-eyed operatives in Boston and Chicago know this and are only playing head games with their opposition when they assert otherwise.

Team Obama's relentless efforts to denigrate Mr. Romney as a sure loser appear to have convinced the Republican candidate that he must run as the underdog. This will make the naturally cautious Mr. Romney more aggressive, energized and specific about his agenda in the campaign's closing weeks than he might have been. It will also make his victory more likely. America likes come-from-behind winners.

Mr. Rove, a former deputy chief of staff to President George W. Bush, helped organize the political action committee American Crossroads."

As I see it, it's anyone's game right now. Obama's supporters will militantly solidify, activate and proselytize if they feel genuinely threatened, and now they do. Grassroots is still important. I hope.

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