How Nate Silver Did With His Oscar Picks | Media - Advertising Age
Geege Schuman stashed this in Big Data
Stashed in: Nate Silver
Best Picture: "Argo" -- correct!
Best Director: Steven Spielberg -- incorrect! (Ang Lee actually won. It's worth noting that Silver gave Spielberg only the slightest statistical edge over Lee.)
Best Actor in a Leading Role: Daniel Day-Lewis -- right!
Best Actress in a Leading Role: Jennifer Lawrence -- right!
Best Supporting Actor: Tommy Lee Jones -- wrong! (Christoph Waltz actually won. Silver wrote that Waltz "might be my choice if I were going based on which performance I liked the most, instead of trying to guess at what the Academy will do.")
Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway -- right!
So... no better than any of the rest of us. :)