CMO of IBM Watson Stephen Gold says Turing Test will be passed within the next three years.
Adam Rifkin stashed this in Artificial Intelligence
Stashed in: Turing, AI, RSA Animate, Accelerating Returns, Machine Learning, IBM
Here are Gold's predictions for the most exciting, disruptive developments coming in AI in the next three years.
As entrepreneurs and investors, these are the areas you should be focusing on, as the business opportunities are tremendous.
1. Next-gen AI systems will beat the Turing Test
Alan Turing created the Turing Test half a century ago as a way to determine a machine's ability to exhibit intelligent behavior indistinguishable from that of a human.
Loosely, if an artificial system passed the Turing Test, it could be considered "AI."
Gold believes, "that for all practical purposes, these systems will pass the Turing Test" in the next three-year period.
Perhaps more importantly, if it does, this event will accelerate the conversation about the proper use of these technologies and their applications.
2. All five human senses (yes, including taste, smell and touch) will become part of the normal computing experience.
AIs will begin to sense and use all five senses. "The sense of touch, smell, and hearing will become prominent in the use of AI," explained Gold. "It will begin to process all that additional incremental information."
When applied to our computing experience, we will engage in a much more intuitive and natural ecosystem that appeals to all of our senses.
3. Solving Big Problems: Detect & Deter Terrorism, Manage Global Climate Change.
AI will help solve some of society's most daunting challenges.
Gold continues, "We've discussed AI's impact on healthcare. We're already seeing this technology being deployed in governments to assist in the understanding and preemptive discovery of terrorist activity."
We'll see revolutions in how we manage climate change, redesign and democratize education, make scientific discoveries, leverage energy resources, and develop solutions to difficult problems.
4. Leverage ALL health data (genomic, phenotypic, social) to redefine the practice of medicine.
"I think AI's effect on healthcare will be far more pervasive and far quicker than anyone anticipates," says Gold. "Even today, AI/Machine Learning is being used in oncology to identify optimal treatment patterns."
But it goes far beyond this. AI is being used to match clinical trials with patients, drive robotic surgeons, read radiological findings and analyze genomic sequences.
5. AI will be woven into the very fabric of our lives – physically and virtually.
Ultimately, during the AI revolution taking place in the next three years, AI's will be integrated into everything around us, combining sensors and networks and making all systems "smart."
AI's will push forward the ideas of transparency, of seamless interaction with devices and information, making everything personalized and easy to use. We'll be able to harness that sensor data and put it into an actionable form, at the moment when we need to make a decision.
The next three years? Really??
Watson better be careful with that global warming talk or Marco Rubio will have him EXTERMINATED!
And Marco is more tolerant of it than Ted Cruz, who heads the senate science committee.
12:18 AM Feb 17 2016