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Australian Dollar is diverging from the S&P 500.


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Yelnick writes:

An interesting correlation since the Global Financial Crisis has been AUD and the S&P.

The more specific correlation is that QE drives up commodities, something also predicted here, and therefore commodity currencies like the AUD. Australia, however, is now in a bind, as its currency is over-valued for its value-added industries, and its mining exports are suffering due to the Chinese slowdown that may yet turn into a hard landing. Indeed, the AUD correlation broke over the past nine months as China began to slow.

Yelnick says that "rather than call the top, we should watch the divergence."

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