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These Ohio Voters Are 100x More Important Than You in the 2012 Presidential Election:


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In the 2012 Election, many analysts believe that the race is so close, that it will all hinge on the great Buckeye State of Ohio.

People all over the country are tracking polls and giving their own opinions, but maybe it's only the opinions of Buckeyes that will even matter in this race?

Truth of the matter is that while all citizens get one vote, Ohio voters -- who make up just around 3% of the U.S. population -- are much more important that you are in determining the outcome of the 2012 Presidential Election.

Ohio voters

Source of the census stats in this post: http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/39000.html

Back in 2004, John Kerry narrowly lost to George Bush. That election was very close, and Bush was able to carry Ohio.

Here's the county map of Ohio, and you can see how red it is:

Ohio 2004 President Election

The mistake by the lake doesn't' apply to just cleveland, apparently ... ;)

well Cleveland is Blue stronghold...the redone districts are making it worse for Ohio democrats, too.

Women make up over 51% of Ohio's population, and these women can literally decide the next American president.

Ohio women voters

Ohio is a predominantly Caucasian state -- much higher than the national average.

White people make up almost 84% of Ohio's population.

Ohio Caucasian vote

Roughly 4% of U.S. veterans over the past five years reside in Ohio, a considerable voting bloc and one that will surely ask both candidates about what they promise to do for the 22m+ veterans nationwide who have served the U.S. bravely.

Ohio veterans vote

While each state, on average, has about 12% immigrants, Ohio has about a quarter of that, much less, so it's likely immigration issues won't be as important in Ohio, and that seems to be consistent with what we're seeing with the campaigns so far.

Ohio Immigrants Vote

It always bugged me that political data is meant to clump people into groups in some de-humanizing way and enforce group-think voting behaviors.

I think that's one of the major things that turns me off about modern day politics.

To me, I figure out who is ahead by this:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html

It shows Romney with 206. He needs to win FL, VA, OH and 4 more electoral votes (like NH) to get to 270.

So there you go, it's not just OH. Also, you could win NH, WI, and IA and still have the same outcome, so maybe OH is only 50x as important, not 100x.